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As the Manhattan grand jury indictment is likely to be filed but the timing is unclear, Donald Trump tried to rally supporters by saying he would be arrested Tuesday and calling for protests.
Mr. Trump made the announcement on his Truth Social website at 7:26 a.m. Saturday in a post that ended, “FAR FURTHER THE LEADING REPUBLIC CANDIDATE AND FORMER PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA WILL BE ARRESTED ON TUESDAY.” NEXT WEEK. PROTEST, RETURN OUR NATION!”
Two hours later, a spokesman issued a statement saying that Mr. Trump did not write his post with direct knowledge of the timing of any arrest, adding, “President Trump rightly emphasizes his innocence and the weaponization of our system of injustice.”
But Mr. Trump’s message on social media had an immediate effect: Hours later, Speaker Kevin McCarthy, one of the most powerful men in the federal government who owes his position in part to Mr. Trump, tweeted that he was calling for an investigation into whether federal funds were being used for “politically motivated prosecutions” that posed a thinly veiled threat to Manhattan District Attorney Alvin L. Bragg.
The representative of the regional prosecutor’s office declined to comment.
Prosecutors working for Mr. Bragg have made it clear that indictment of Mr. Trump may be imminent. But they have not told Mr. Trump’s lawyers when charges will be filed – expected to involve a 2016 silence payment against a porn star – or an arrest will be made, people with knowledge of the matter say. At least one more witness is expected to testify before a grand jury, people said, which could delay an indictment.
One person said that even if a grand jury votes to indict the former president on Monday, extradition on Tuesday is unlikely, given the need to agree on timing, travel and other logistics.
Mr. Trump’s spokesman’s statement did not explain how he ended up on Tuesday as the date of the arrest. One person with knowledge of the matter said that Trump’s advisers guessed around then that this could happen, and that someone could have informed the former president about it.
Mr. Trump’s lawyer, Susan R. Necheles, said his post was based on news reports and accused the Manhattan District Attorney’s office of conducting “political persecution.”
Mr. Trump, who announced his third presidential campaign in November and outperformed his Republican opponents in most polls, first faced criminal investigation in the late 1970s. He was deeply concerned about the prospect of an arrest, which is expected to include fingerprinting, one of the people said.
When former Trump Organization CFO Allen H. Weisselberg was arrested in 2021, Trump watched in horror as television news showed Mr. Weisselberg surrounded by officers in a courthouse, and the former president said he couldn’t believe it. , what? What happened.
Mr. Trump’s post on Saturday, calling on his supporters to protest and rebuild the nation, bears unmistakable echoes of the inflammatory messages he posted online in the weeks before the attack on the US Capitol. In the most famous of these messages, published on December 10. On January 19, 2020, he announced on Twitter that he would hold a rally in Washington on January 6. “Be there,” he told his millions of followers. “It will be wild.”
At that rally on the ellipse outside the White House, Mr. Trump told supporters to march to the Capitol, where the 2020 presidential election was being confirmed. He is under investigation by federal prosecutors for his activities prior to the attack.
Investigators later determined that far-right extremist groups, as well as ordinary Trump supporters, took his tweet as a direct invitation. They jumped into action almost immediately, acquiring protective equipment, setting up encrypted communication channels and, in one case, preparing a heavily armed “rapid reaction force” to be deployed outside of Washington for the event.
Leaders of groups such as the Proud Boys and the Three Percent militia also began to incite their members with militant language, and their personal messaging channels increasingly filled with plans to rush to Mr. Trump’s aid.
On Friday night, Mr. Trump’s campaign announced what could be his first post-indictment rally: an event in Waco, Texas, where bloody clashes between federal officials and an extremist religious sect took place around this time 30 years ago.
How Times reporters cover politics.We expect our journalists to be independent observers. Thus, while Times employees may vote, they are not permitted to support or campaign for candidates or for political reasons. This includes participating in marches or rallies in support of a movement, or donating or raising money for any political candidate or election campaign.
Early Saturday night, Mr. Trump attended the NCAA Championship Wrestling in Tulsa, Oklahoma, where he was greeted with applause and chants of “USA! UNITED STATES!” Inside the arena, Mr Trump shook hands with supporters, took selfies with spectators and met with some of the wrestlers.
Despite Mr. Trump’s unpredictable nature, several members of his legal team have said they expect him to turn himself in.
New York City officials discussed security arrangements in Manhattan Criminal Court if indicted, according to people familiar with the planning. first reported by NBC News. Mr. Trump is expected to be charged with the silence payment of his former aide and attorney Michael D. Cohen to porn star Stormy Daniels, who claimed she had an affair with Mr. Trump.
Mr. Cohen paid Ms. Daniels $130,000 to bury her story about the affair.
The payment was made ahead of the 2016 presidential election, and Mr. Trump subsequently reimbursed Mr. Cohen. Prosecutors are expected to charge Mr. Trump with overseeing a false record of refunds in his company’s internal records. The records falsely indicated that the payments to Mr. Cohen were for “legal expenses.”
There were several signals that charges might be imminent: Prosecutors gave Mr. Trump the opportunity to testify, a right reserved for people who are indicted, and questioned nearly every major player in the money-hush saga before a grand jury.
Mr. Trump denies all wrongdoing and denies having an affair with Ms. Daniels.
Any arrest and trial of Mr. Trump is likely to combine the routine steps that every defendant goes through – being fingerprinted, photographed – with the pomposity of a former president whose every move is monitored by the US Secret Service.
It is not clear what accommodations Mr. Trump will receive. Defendants arrested on charges of serious crimes are usually handcuffed, but an exception may be made. While he is waiting to appear in court, it is possible that, for security reasons, he will be placed in an interrogation room or other enclosed space rather than in a holding cell. And once Mr. Trump is brought to trial, he will almost certainly be released without spending a minute behind bars, because the indictment will most likely contain only non-violent criminal charges.
Early Saturday morning, there was little evidence that extremist groups supported Mr. Trump’s new demand for protests.
But Ali Alexander, a well-known organizer of the “Stop theft” rallies after the 2020 election, posted on his Telegram channel on Saturday that he supported a massive pro-Trump demonstration.
“I said earlier that if Trump is arrested or threatened with a criminal walk, 100,000 patriots must block all routes to Mar-a-Lago,” Mr. Alexander wrote. “Now I am retired. But I will pray for him!”
Without a White House-provided platform or a major political campaign mechanism, it was unclear how many people Trump could reach, let alone mobilize, through Truth Social.
And it remained unclear whether he would repeat his call to action or raise the stakes with more aggressive language. But his political allies have made clear this week that they are preparing for a political war with Mr. Bragg.
New York Representative Elise Stefanik, a Republican third in the House of Representatives and another close Trump ally, said Saturday morning that the investigation was “an attempt to silence and subdue the will of voters who support President Trump and America First.” movement.”
Yet two of Trump’s most pompous Republican allies, Rep. Marjorie Taylor Green of Georgia and Matt Goetz of Florida, refused to repeat his call for protests. Goetz disparaged the case on Twitter, with Ms Green adding, “We don’t need to protest the Communist Democrats’ plans to arrest” Trump.
Mr. Trump has been attacking Mr. Bragg, who is black, as a “racist” for months now. Mr. Bragg was convicted of tax fraud against the Trump Organization last year, although he did not personally indict Mr. Trump.
Some of Mr. Trump’s supporters voluntarily responded with violence after FBI agents, acting on a search warrant, raided Mar-a-Lago, his private club and residence in Florida, in August and took boxes of documents to the course of the investigation. in the handling of the former president with classified materials.
A few days after the search, an armed Ohio man who posted online his outrage at Mar-a-Lago attempted to break into an FBI field office outside of Cincinnati. He was later killed in a skirmish with local security forces.
The former president’s surprise salvo on Saturday showed the chaos Mr. Bragg is likely to face if he files an indictment.
Mr. Bragg, a former U.S. Attorney and Deputy Attorney General of the State of New York, has some experience in prosecuting public officials. But he’s not used to dealing with a high-profile, volatile and fight-prone figure like the former president, and it’s unclear how his office will respond to Trump’s future outbursts.
Xi Jinping, General Secretary of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China (CCP) and President of China, attends a high-level meeting of the CCP in dialogue with world political parties via video link and delivers a keynote speech in Beijing, China’s capital, on March 15. , 2023. [Photo/Xinhua]
Initiative: focus on cultural diversity
Leaders of political parties and organizations from around the world welcomed China’s proposed Global Civilization Initiative, saying that it, along with the Global Development Initiative and the Global Security Initiative, is of great importance in building a consensus among countries to address growing global challenges in the context of peace, security, development and harmonious coexistence.
Their comments came when Xi Jinping, general secretary of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, presented the Global Civilization Initiative on Wednesday at the CCP High-Level Meeting in Dialogue with World Political Parties. Theme of the meeting: “The path to modernization: the responsibility of political parties.”
The initiative calls for respect for the diversity of civilizations, upholding the common values of humanity in the pursuit of peace, development, equality, justice, democracy and freedom, as well as active international exchange and cooperation between people.
The political leaders attending the virtual meeting spoke positively of Xi’s initiative and expressed their willingness to work with the CPC to play a leadership role in promoting exchanges and mutual learning among civilizations, and to walk the path of modernization based on their national contexts.
South African President Cyril Ramaphosa, who is also chairman of the African National Congress, South Africa’s ruling party, said he fully agreed with Xi’s initiative.
South Africa’s history of struggle for national independence makes its people value the importance of unity, harmony, inclusiveness and mutual respect, he said.
The initiative is particularly important given the devastating challenges the world is facing such as climate change, the COVID-19 pandemic, terrorism and geopolitical confrontation, Ramaphosa added.
He also said that South Africa values China’s foreign policy of non-interference in domestic affairs and mutually beneficial cooperation, which is reflected in China’s global initiatives and is critical to promoting the collective growth of developing countries.
Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić, also chairman of the Serbian Progressive Party, said the world is looking to China for innovative solutions to solve problems in a complex changing international landscape.
Vučić said humanity must work together to protect the diversity of cultures and civilizations.
The Serbian President also said, echoing Xi’s remarks on Wednesday, that countries should adhere to the principles of equality, mutual learning, dialogue and inclusion and should, as Xi said, “allow cultural exchange to go beyond alienation, mutual learning to go beyond clashes, and inclusiveness – go beyond any sense of superiority.
In his speech, Xi, who is also the President of China and Chairman of the Central Military Council, stressed the need for all countries to refrain from imposing their values or models on others and from fomenting ideological confrontation.
At a time when geopolitical competition has led to crises and challenges, Xi’s development, security and civilization initiatives are very important for international and regional peace and cooperation, said Mongolian Prime Minister Luvsannamsrein Oyun-Erdene, who is also the chairman of the Mongolian People’s Party. .
He added that Mongolia fully supports the initiatives, and mutual trust, dialogue and cooperation are the common aspirations of mankind and represent the future of the world.
South Sudan President Salva Kiir, who is also chairman of the Sudan People’s Liberation Movement, criticized the reluctance of a number of countries to build a fair and balanced system of global governance, seeking to provoke geopolitical competition, resulting in complex threats to global security. He said.
According to Kiir, given the current international landscape, leaders of political parties should promote the common values of humanity, advocate respect for different paths of development and diverse cultures, and confront ideological confrontations in various forms.
Xi also elaborated on Chinese modernization in his speech. “We must uphold the principle of independence and explore a variety of ways to modernize,” he said.
Xi Jinping said that it is the people of the country who can best tell what kind of modernization suits them, adding that developing countries have the right and opportunity to independently explore the path of modernization with distinctive features based on their national realities.
Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, also chairman of the United Socialist Party of Venezuela, said that there is no universal model of modernization applicable to all countries.
According to Maduro, some countries are trying to impose their models on others, ignoring the differences of countries in the political, cultural and historical context.
PHOTO ILLUSTRATION OF FIVETHIRTYEIGHT / GETTY IMAGES
Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly survey roundup.
When the Silicon Valley bank collapsed last week, it caused the stock market will start a five-day fall. V shares for regional banks, in particulardeclined significantly, even as federal regulators worked on mitigation. Investors were clearly spooked by the failure of SVB and Signature Bank, a New York-based institution that also collapsed over the weekend. But Americans didn’t have much confidence in banks and other financial institutions for a while, and most believe more regulation is needed.
Gallup asked Americans about their confidence in various institutions, including banks, even before the 1980s. While most Americans once said they had “very” or “fairly” trust in banks, that has changed dramatically since the 2008 financial crisis. In 2007, 41 percent of Americans expressed significant confidence in banks; by 2009, only 22 percent. Although this level rose again to 38 percent in 2020, it has since fallen again and has never reached the consistently high levels of the mid-90s and early 2000s.
Similar trends have been recorded in other surveys: a 2012 article published in Public opinion quarterly found that declines in banking confidence were more related to major banking scandals than to economic events and indicators such as recessions or inflation. According to Pew poll last yearfew Americans across the political spectrum believe that banks and other financial institutions “have a positive impact on the way things are going in the country these days.”
And a slightly different but complementary question from Gallup shows that not only do Americans distrust banks, they tend to have an unfavorable attitude towards them: 2022 survey, just 36 percent of Americans said they were very or somewhat positive about the banking industry, up from 40 percent a year earlier. Compare that to the 60 percent of Americans who are positive about the restaurant industry, or the 57 percent who are positive about the farming industry.
Perhaps that’s why it’s not surprising that many US banks feel they should be more regulated. A survey from Lake Research Partners/Chesapeake Beach Consulting Last October, he asked Americans about banking regulation and specific policies, garnering widespread support across the political spectrum. Sixty-six percent of Americans, including 77 percent of Democrats and 57 percent of Republicans, said they need to increase regulation of “financial companies such as Wall Street banks, mortgage lenders, payday lenders, collectors and credit card companies.” More than half of Americans said that the influence of big banks in Washington is too great. And most Americans supported a range of policy proposals made by Congress and regulators, including limiting the size and frequency of bank overdrafts and credit card fees, lowering interest rates on high-cost loans, and closing loopholes for fintech companies.
But despite the distrust of financial institutions and the desire for more regulation, Americans were not too shocked by the closure of the SVB, although the reaction from them was mixed. IN poll “Morning consultation” this week, 60 percent of voters said they supported the Biden administration’s creation of an emergency fund to cover deposits in closed banks, while 62 percent said they viewed the action as a bailout. More Reuters/Ipsos poll over the same period found that 84 percent of Americans say taxpayers shouldn’t pay to fix problems caused by irresponsible bank management, which — in that Morning Consult survey — voter bias (38 percent) cited as a major reason for SVB’s failure. Meanwhile, a YouGov poll this week showed only 6 percent of Americans consider the money they currently invest in US banks to be “very unreliable”, while 70 percent said it was very or somewhat safe. Besides, 64 percent of Americans said they backed the Silicon Valley bank bailout to protect customer deposits.
However, the majority of Americans – 54 percent – said it is very or somewhat likely that the collapse of the SVB would trigger a broader financial crisis in the US, perhaps another indication of how little American confidence in banks has been since 2008.
Other Polling Bits
While President Biden’s approval rating continues to fall, voters are mostly supportive policies in his budget proposalin accordance with a recent survey from Morning Consult. A majority of registered voters approved almost all of the policies in Biden’s proposal, such as capping insulin at $35 a month and imposing a minimum tax of 25 percent on the richest 0.01 percent of Americans. Even a majority of Republicans approved of many of the measures: 73% of Republican voters supported a cap of insulin, and 53% supported $15 billion in free school meals.
As the war in Ukraine continues, American attitudes towards Russia have fallen to a 34-year low. according to a Gallup poll. Only 9 percent of Americans view Russia positively, up from 15 percent a year ago and a high of 66 percent in 1991 and 2002. fell sharply around the time Russia annexed Crimea in 2014 and has continued to fall since Russia invaded Ukraine last year.
More than 30 states are considering or have already enacted a ban on the popular TikTok video app, but Americans are ambivalent about whether a national ban is a good idea. new survey from Quinnipiac University. When asked if they would support a national ban on “foreign technology like TikTok,” a proportion of Americans (49 percent) said they would, while 42 percent said they would oppose it. Republicans were more likely than independents or Democrats to support a ban, while Americans aged 18 to 34 were the least likely to support a ban, with 63% saying they would oppose it.
March madness is in full swing, and despite poll by the Center for Public Opinion at the University of Massachusetts Lowell With the discovery that only 16 percent of Americans identify themselves as college basketball fans, interest in the tournament is growing. recent survey by Morning Consult. 35% of Americans said they plan to watch the men’s tournament this year, up from 29% last year. A higher proportion of Americans also plan to fill the bracket this year (23 percent) than last year (15 percent).
In honor of the start of Taylor Swift’s last tour, both YouGov another morning consultation Recently asked fans to rate their albums. In a YouGov poll, Swift’s “Lover” came in first place, with 14% of fans citing it as their top pick, and “1989” topped a Morning Consult fan poll. results were fans seeing the color red, but they had to shake it off because, frankly, it’s very difficult to choose which album will suit you from this mastermind’s hit-filled discography, as any fan knows all too well.
Biden endorsement
According to FiveThirtyEight’s presidential approval tracker, 43.7% of Americans approve of Biden’s performance as president, while 51.5% disapprove (-7.8 net approval rating). At the same time last week, 43.6% approved and 51.4% disapproved (net approval rating of -7.8 points). A month ago, Biden had a 43.1% approval rating and a 51.8% disapproval rating, for a net approval rating of -8.8.